Economy

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India’s Rising Fiscal Capacity: What a 19.6% Tax–GDP Ratio Signals

Context: A recent assessment estimates India’s overall tax-to-GDP ratio at 19.6% in FY2024, covering both Centre and States. This marks steady improvement in domestic resource mobilisation, reflecting expanding formalisation, improved compliance, and stronger direct tax collections.

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Key Trends

  • Central Gross Tax Revenue: ~11.2% of GDP in FY24; projected 11.7% in FY25.
  • Direct Taxes: Ratio reached a 15-year high of 6.64% in FY24; likely to rise to 6.7% in FY25.
  • Tax Buoyancy: Long-term buoyancy at 1.1, meaning tax revenues grow slightly faster than nominal GDP.
  • Global Position: India’s ratio is above many emerging economies (e.g., Malaysia, Indonesia) but below the OECD average (~34%).

Understanding the Tax-to-GDP Ratio

  • Definition: Share of total tax revenue in a country’s nominal GDP.
  • Formula: Total Annual Tax Revenue ÷ Nominal GDP.
  • Fiscal Capacity Indicator: Shows the state’s ability to mobilise domestic resources.
  • Economic Signal: Higher ratios imply a broader tax base and formal economy.
  • Global Benchmark: The World Bank suggests 15% as a tipping point for sustainable development.

Positive Implications

  • Fiscal Stability: Reduces dependence on borrowing; supports fiscal consolidation.
  • Public Investment: Enables higher capital expenditure on infrastructure and welfare.
  • Redistributive Role: Rising direct taxes strengthen progressive redistribution.

Potential Risks

  • Consumption Drag: Excessive taxation may reduce disposable incomes.
  • Inflationary Effects: High indirect taxes (GST, excise) can raise prices.
  • Investment Concerns: Over-taxation could deter investment or trigger capital relocation.

Tax Buoyancy Explained

  • Meaning: Responsiveness of tax revenue growth to changes in nominal GDP.
  • Formula: % Change in Tax Revenue ÷ % Change in Nominal GDP.
  • Buoyancy > 1: Revenue grows faster than the economy due to better compliance or base expansion.
  • Buoyancy < 1: Collections lag, indicating evasion, exemptions, or informality.
  • Sustained buoyancy above 1 gradually raises the tax-to-GDP ratio.

From Waste to Wealth: India’s Shift Towards a Circular Economy

Context: India’s rapid urbanisation and consumption-led growth have stretched its linear “take–make–dispose” waste management model to the brink. Transitioning to a circular waste management model, where waste is minimised, reused, recycled, and converted into resources, is now essential for environmental sustainability, resource security, and green growth.

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India’s Waste Management Landscape

India generates nearly 1.70 lakh tonnes of municipal solid waste daily, projected to touch 165 million tonnes annually by 2030.

However, only 55–70% of collected waste is scientifically processed, leaving over 16 crore tonnes of legacy waste across 2,450 active dumpsites.

The challenge is magnified by sectoral waste streams. India ranks third globally in e-waste generation, with volumes rising 15–20% annually. Around 150 million tonnes of construction and demolition (C&D) waste are generated each year, often dumped illegally. Plastic waste, estimated at 9 million tonnes annually, is dominated by single-use plastics, creating persistent ecological risks.

Legal and Policy Framework

The Constitution empowers urban local bodies under Article 243W to manage sanitation and solid waste, while Article 51A(g) places a fundamental duty on citizens to protect the environment.

The Environment (Protection) Act, 1986 acts as the umbrella law for waste governance. Key rules include:

  • Solid Waste Management Rules, 2016: mandate source segregation into wet, dry, and hazardous waste.
  • Construction and Demolition Waste Management Rules, 2025: introduce Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR) and recycling targets.
  • Plastic Waste Management Amendment Rules, 2025: mandate QR-based digital tracking and minimum recycled-plastic content.

Why a Circular Model Matters

A circular economy can unlock ₹3.5 trillion annually by 2030 and generate 10 million green jobs by 2050.

Material recovery from e-waste, batteries, and end-of-life vehicles reduces dependence on imported raw materials and critical minerals.

Processing 50% of wet waste through bio-methanation can generate ₹2,460 crore annually while cutting over 10 million tonnes of CO₂-equivalent emissions. Scientific remediation of dumpsites can free 10,000+ hectares of urban land, while Refuse-Derived Fuel (RDF) can replace 10–30% of fossil fuels in industries. Recycling C&D waste conserves virgin minerals and lowers infrastructure costs.

Key Challenges

Despite its promise, the circular transition faces hurdles. NITI Aayog estimates an investment need of USD 50–80 billion over the next decade, beyond the capacity of most municipalities. Policy fragmentation across ministries weakens enforcement, while low user charges and volatile recycled-material prices undermine financial viability.

Further, nearly 90% of waste handling is done by informal workers without legal protection, and rising consumerism erodes traditional repair-and-reuse practices.

Government Initiatives

  • Swachh Bharat Mission (Urban) 2.0: remediation of 2,400+ dumpsites by October 2026.
  • Cities Coalition for Circularity (C-3): city-level collaboration platform.
  • GOBAR-dhan Scheme: converts biodegradable waste into CBG and manure.
  • Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR): shifts recycling costs to producers.
  • Mission LiFE: promotes sustainable lifestyles.
  • Waste to Wealth Mission: deploys technologies for resource recovery.

Conclusion

A circular waste economy is not merely an environmental imperative but a strategic pathway for India’s urban resilience, climate action, and economic transformation.

Banks Enter India’s Pension Asset Space

Context: In a significant reform in India’s pension ecosystem, the Pension Fund Regulatory and Development Authority (PFRDA) has approved a framework permitting banks to sponsor pension fund entities for managing assets under the National Pension System (NPS). This marks a shift from the earlier, limited role of banks as service facilitators to active participants in pension asset management.

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What Has Changed?

Until now, Scheduled Commercial Banks functioned mainly as Points of Presence—responsible for onboarding NPS subscribers, collecting contributions, and providing customer services. Under the new framework, eligible banks can now establish and sponsor a Pension Fund Manager (PFM), enabling them to directly manage retirement savings invested through NPS.

Eligibility for this expanded role will be aligned with RBI prudential norms, including minimum net worth, market capitalisation, governance standards, and overall financial soundness.

This ensures that only stable and well-capitalised banks enter the pension fund management space.

About the National Pension System (NPS)

The National Pension System is a voluntary, defined-contribution retirement scheme regulated by PFRDA. It is open to all Indian citizens and Overseas Citizens of India aged 18–70.

Key features include:

  • Subscriber Choice: Individuals can select their Pension Fund Manager and asset allocation mix.
  • Portability: A Permanent Retirement Account Number (PRAN) remains valid across jobs and locations.
  • Investment Structure: Contributions are professionally invested across equities, government securities, corporate bonds, and select alternative assets, generating market-linked returns.

Withdrawal and Annuity Provisions

At the normal retirement age of 60:

  • Government subscribers may withdraw up to 60% of the accumulated corpus tax-free.
  • At least 40% must be invested in an annuity purchased from PFRDA-empanelled providers, providing a taxable monthly pension.
  • For non-government subscribers, recent reforms permit lump-sum withdrawal of up to 80%, offering greater flexibility.

Role of PFRDA

The Pension Fund Regulatory and Development Authority functions as the statutory pension regulator under the Ministry of Finance.

Established as an interim body in 2003 and granted statutory status through the PFRDA Act, 2013, it aims to promote old-age income security.

PFRDA regulates pension funds, sets investment and governance norms, benchmarks performance, and administers key schemes such as NPS, Atal Pension Yojana (APY), Unified Pension Scheme (UPS), and NPS Vatsalya.

Why This Matters

Allowing banks to manage pension assets can deepen competition, improve fund management expertise, and enhance long-term returns for subscribers.

At the same time, RBI-aligned eligibility norms help safeguard retirement savings by ensuring prudential oversight and financial stability.

Breaking Ground: Why Land Acquisition Slows India’s Infrastructure Push

Context: Land acquisition has emerged as the single largest bottleneck in India’s infrastructure projects reviewed under PRAGATI (Pro-Active Governance and Timely Implementation). Government data show that land acquisition alone accounts for 35% of project delays, while environmental clearances and right-of-way (RoW) issues together contribute to 73% of delays nationwide. This underscores a persistent governance challenge at a time when India is scaling up capital expenditure to fuel economic growth.

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What is Land Acquisition?

Land acquisition refers to the government’s power to acquire private land for public purposes such as roads, railways, defence, industrial corridors, urban infrastructure, and social projects.

In India, this process is governed by the Right to Fair Compensation and Transparency in Land Acquisition, Rehabilitation and Resettlement (LARR) Act, 2013.

Key safeguards under the Act include:

  • Social Impact Assessment (SIA): Mandatory assessment of impacts on livelihoods, infrastructure, and local communities before acquisition.
  • Consent Norms: Prior consent of 80% of affected families for private projects and 70% for Public–Private Partnership (PPP) projects.
  • Compensation Framework:
    • 4× market value in rural areas
    • 2× market value in urban areas
  • Solatium: An additional 100% of compensation to account for the involuntary nature of acquisition.

While these provisions strengthen fairness and transparency, they also lengthen timelines and increase project costs.

Why Does Land Acquisition Cause Delays?

Several structural and administrative factors contribute to delays:

  • Lengthy Procedures: SIA studies, public hearings, and consent processes are time-consuming.
  • Litigation Risks: Disputes over valuation, consent, and rehabilitation often lead to prolonged court cases.
  • Federal Complexity: Land is a State subject, leading to uneven implementation across states.
  • Social Resistance: Inadequate trust, fear of livelihood loss, and displacement concerns fuel opposition.

India’s Expanding Infrastructure Landscape

Despite these hurdles, India’s infrastructure push is unprecedented:

  • Capital Investment: The Union Budget 2025–26 allocated ₹11.21 lakh crore (3.1% of GDP) for capital expenditure.
  • Roads: Second-largest road network globally; 1,46,145 km of National Highways (2024).
  • Railways: 99.2% electrification of the Broad Gauge network by 2025.
  • Aviation: Third-largest domestic aviation market after the US and China.
  • Ports & Shipping: Under Sagarmala 2.0, cargo handling reached 1,630 MT, improving India’s global shipment ranking from 44th to 22nd.
  • Urban Transport: Third-largest metro network globally, spanning 1,013 km across 23 cities.
  • Rural Water: Jal Jeevan Mission achieved 80% rural tap water coverage by early 2025.

Way Forward

To reconcile rapid infrastructure growth with social justice:

  • Digitise Land Records: Reduce disputes through clear titling.
  • Time-bound SIAs: Standardise and streamline assessment timelines.
  • Negotiated Settlements: Promote land pooling and consent-based models.
  • Stronger Rehabilitation: Ensure livelihood security to build trust.

Farmer Suicides in India: Patterns, Causes and Policy Gap

Context: A 28-year analysis of NCRB data (1995–2023) reveals that farmer suicides in India remain a persistent, regionally concentrated crisis, with a sharp resurgence in 2023 after nearly a decade of decline. The pattern underscores deep structural vulnerabilities in Indian agriculture that welfare measures have only partially mitigated.

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Scale and Long-Term Trends

Between 1995 and 2023, about 3.94 lakh farmers and agricultural labourers died by suicide—an average of ~13,600 deaths annually. The crisis peaked during 2000–2009, accounting for nearly 1.54 lakh deaths, with 2002 recording the highest single-year toll (17,971).

After 2010, suicides declined steadily, coinciding with expanded rural wage employment. However, 2023 marked a reversal, with 10,786 suicides, a ~75% jump over 2022. Notably, the profile has shifted: agricultural labourers (6,096) now outnumber cultivators (4,690), signalling distress beyond landholding farmers.

Regional Concentration

The crisis is geographically skewed. Maharashtra (4,151) and Karnataka (2,423) together accounted for the largest share in 2023. Over the long term, southern and western India contribute ~72.5% of total farmer suicides.

Andhra Pradesh and Telangana together have recorded ~1.7 lakh deaths over 28 years, reflecting chronic vulnerability in rainfed, cash-crop-dependent regions.

Role of Welfare Interventions

Post-2010 declines align with welfare expansion, especially MGNREGA, which provided alternative income during agrarian stress. Some states demonstrated sharp turnarounds: Kerala reduced suicides from 1,118 (2005) to 105 (2014), and West Bengal reported zero cases by 2012—highlighting the importance of income smoothing and social protection.

Structural Drivers of Distress

  • Rainfed Vulnerability: ~52% of India’s net sown area is rainfed, disproportionately linked to suicides.
  • Debt Trap: ~50% of agricultural households are indebted; average debt exceeds ₹74,000.
  • Trade Exposure: Post-1990s liberalisation reduced income support amid rising import competition.
  • Input Cost Inflation: Fertiliser, seed, and pesticide costs rose >300% since the early 2000s, while real farm incomes stagnated.

Way Forward

  • Income Assurance: Expand MSP procurement beyond rice–wheat; pilot price-deficiency payments.
  • Risk Protection: Reform PM Fasal Bima Yojana with automatic, weather-triggered payouts.
  • Rainfed Resilience: Scale integrated farming systems (millets–pulses–livestock) under NICRA in cotton belts.
  • Labour Security: Stabilise wages for agricultural labourers; replicate Kerala’s Ayyankali Employment Guarantee during lean seasons.

Bank Frauds in India: Fewer Cases, Bigger Losses

Context (RBI): The Reserve Bank of India in its Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in India 2024–25 highlights a paradox: fraud cases declined sharply, but the total amount involved surged, pointing to concentration of risk in high-value advances.

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Key Findings from the RBI Report

  • Overall Trend:
    Fraud cases declined to 23,879 in FY25 from 36,052 in FY24, but the value jumped to ₹34,771 crore from ₹11,261 crore.
  • Court-Linked Reclassification:
    A major spike arose from 122 cases worth ₹18,336 crore, re-reported after compliance with the Supreme Court’s principles of natural justice requiring borrower hearings.
  • H1 FY26 Snapshot (Apr–Sep):
    Cases fell to 5,092 (from 18,386), while the amount involved rose to ₹21,515 crore.
  • Digital Frauds:
    Card and internet frauds constituted 66.8% of cases by number in FY25, reflecting high-frequency, low-value incidents.
  • Loan (Advances) Frauds:
    Advances-related frauds accounted for about 33.1% of the total amount by value, despite fewer cases.
  • Bank-Group Pattern:
    • Private banks: 59.3% of cases
    • Public Sector Banks (PSBs): 70.7% of the total amount involved

Why the Number of Frauds Fell

  • Digital Transaction Controls:
    AI-based monitoring, velocity checks, and risk-based authentication across core banking platforms have curtailed small-value fraud attempts.
  • Stronger KYC Regime:
    Mandatory re-KYC, video-based customer identification, and centralised KYC records reduced impersonation and mule accounts.
  • Early Warning Systems (EWS):
    Automated alerts for unusual account behaviour enabled faster freezing of suspicious transactions, aided by account-level dashboards.
  • Consumer Awareness:
    SMS alerts, helplines, and nationwide cyber awareness campaigns improved customer response time to fraud attempts.

Why Value of Frauds Rose Sharply

  • Legacy Loan Frauds:
    Large corporate and consortium loan frauds often surface after forensic audits, inflating total values in a single year.
  • Reclassification Impact:
    Earlier under-reported or disputed cases were re-examined and reported afresh, adding high-ticket amounts.
  • Concentration in Advances:
    Credit-related frauds involve large exposure sizes, unlike retail digital frauds that are frequent but low in value.

Way Forward

  • Risk-Based Supervision:
    Intensify scrutiny of large-value advances using dynamic risk-scoring and borrower heat maps.
  • Unified Fraud Intelligence:
    Integrate fraud registries across banks and non-banks for real-time red-flag sharing through interoperable platforms.
  • Digital Payment Safeguards:
    Introduce cooling-off periods and beneficiary verification for first-time or high-risk transactions.
  • Board-Level Accountability:
    Mandate periodic fraud-risk reviews by bank boards with fixed response timelines and governance dashboards.

India’s Increasing Push for Free Trade Agreements

Context: Amid slowing global growth, supply-chain disruptions, and rising geopolitical uncertainty, India is actively signing Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) as part of a strategic shift to secure markets, investments, and technology in a volatile global order.

Free Trade Agreement (FTA)

An FTA is a binding trade pact between countries or economic blocs that reduces or eliminates tariffs, quotas, and other trade barriers to promote cross-border trade in goods and services.

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Why India Is Pushing FTAs

1. Market Access for Exports

FTAs provide preferential access to overseas markets, benefiting labour-intensive sectors.
Example: The India–UAE CEPA offers duty-free access for about 90% of Indian exports, leading to a 12% export rise in the first year.

2. Investment Gains

Stable trade rules under FTAs attract long-term foreign investment.
Example: The India–EFTA Trade and Economic Partnership Agreement (TEPA) commits $100 billion of investment over 15 years.

3. Improved Competitiveness

Lower tariffs on inputs help India integrate into global value chains.
Example: Under the India–ASEAN FTA, Indian textile exports to ASEAN grew by 15%.

4. Expansion of Services Trade

Modern FTAs increasingly cover services and mobility.
Example: The proposed India–UK FTA seeks improved market access for Indian professionals in IT and healthcare.

5. Geopolitical Alignment

FTAs act as strategic stabilisers by strengthening partnerships with key regions. Agreements with QUAD partners, the EU, and Indo-Pacific countries reinforce India’s strategic position.

6. Technology Access

Trade agreements facilitate access to advanced technologies.
Example: The India–Australia ECTA improves access to renewable energy and critical mineral technologies.

Key Concerns in India’s FTA Strategy

  • Trade Imbalances: Imports under pacts like AITIGA have outpaced exports.
  • Low Utilisation: Only about 25% of exporters use FTA benefits due to complex rules and paperwork.
  • Rules of Origin (RoO) Misuse: Risk of third-country goods entering India via FTA partners.
  • Non-Tariff Barriers (NTBs): Strict standards in developed markets limit real market access.
  • Domestic Vulnerability: Dairy and farm sectors fear competition from subsidised producers abroad.
  • Sustainability Pressures: Measures like the EU’s CBAM add carbon-related costs to exports.
  • Overdependence Risk: Excessive bilateralism may weaken India’s multilateral bargaining power.

Way Forward

  • Simplify & Digitise RoO to cut compliance costs and prevent misuse.
  • Support MSMEs through export facilitation and awareness programmes.
  • Align PLI Schemes with FTA objectives to boost high-value manufacturing.
  • Improve Trade Logistics via ports, ICDs, and customs digitalisation.
  • Sectoral Strategy: Push strengths (services, textiles, gems) while protecting sensitive sectors.
  • Sustainability Readiness: Prepare industry for NTBs and carbon regulations.
  • Regular FTA Reviews: Modernise older FTAs like AITIGA to correct imbalances.

India’s Special Economic Zone (SEZ) Slowdown

Context: Recent Commerce Ministry data reveal that 466 Special Economic Zone (SEZ) units have shut down over the last five years across seven SEZs, signalling structural stress in India’s flagship export-promotion framework. Closures accelerated after the COVID-19 shock, peaking in FY25 (100 units) and FY22 (113 units).

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About Special Economic Zones (SEZs):

India announced its SEZ policy in 2000 under the Foreign Trade Policy, later institutionalised through the SEZ Act, 2005 and SEZ Rules (2006). SEZs were envisaged as duty-free enclaves to promote exports, attract domestic and foreign investment, generate employment, and create world-class infrastructure. Section 18 of the Act also allows International Financial Services Centres (IFSCs) within SEZs, a provision operationalised through GIFT City.

Current Status of the SEZ Sector:

Despite rising exports and investments, the sector shows signs of stagnation. Employment declined marginally from 31.94 lakh to 31.77 lakh (FY25), while exports doubled from ₹7.59 lakh crore (FY21) to ₹14.63 lakh crore (FY25) and investments rose from ₹6.17 lakh crore to ₹7.82 lakh crore. However, sectoral stress is evident: gems and jewellery units fell from ~500 (pre-2019) to ~360 by FY22, reflecting vulnerability to global demand shocks and policy rigidities.

Consequences of the SEZ Slowdown:

  • Export Headwinds: U.S. tariffs and compliance rigidity have slowed SEZ export growth to below 4% YoY (FY24–25).
  • Idle Capacity: 25–30% capacity underutilisation during seasonal demand dips undermines efficiency.
  • Competitiveness Loss: Competing economies like Vietnam attract three times more FDI due to flexible domestic-linkage rules.
  • Fiscal Impact: Over 35 units sought de-notification since 2023, implying an estimated ₹2,800 crore annual revenue shortfall (customs and income tax).
  • Employment Risks: The gems and jewellery SEZs employ about 1.05 lakh artisans; declining U.S. orders led to 12,000+ job losses in FY25.

Way Forward

India must recalibrate SEZs to a post-pandemic, geopolitically fragmented trade environment.

  • Policy Flexibility: Allow controlled domestic subcontracting (job-work) with fair duty adjustment, akin to China’s dual-use SEZ model.
  • Global Branding: Reposition Indian SEZs via coordinated outreach with Invest India.
  • Investment Protection: Negotiate modern Bilateral Investment Treaties (BITs) aligned with global best practices.
  • Innovation Push: Launch an SEZ Innovation & Skill Mission offering tax incentives for R&D, design, and upskilling.
  • Digital Integration: Seamlessly link SEZs with the National Single-Window System to cut approval delays.

Conclusion:

The SEZ slowdown reflects not failure, but policy inertia amid changing global trade dynamics. Targeted reforms can restore SEZs as engines of export competitiveness, jobs, and investment.

RBI Measures for Macroeconomic Stability

Context: To reinforce macroeconomic stability amid easing inflation and resilient growth, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)—through the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) and liquidity management tools—has announced a coordinated set of monetary and liquidity measures.

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Key Measures by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC)

1. Repo Rate Cut (25 basis points to 5.25%)

The RBI reduced the repo rate—the rate at which it lends short-term funds to banks against government securities.

Objective: Stimulate economic activity by lowering borrowing costs and ensuring adequate liquidity.

Impact: Bank lending rates and EMIs decline, corporate borrowing becomes cheaper, and money-market rates align more closely with the policy rate.

2. “Goldilocks” Forecast Revisions

The RBI revised FY26 GDP growth upward to 7.3% and lowered the CPI inflation projection to 2.0%.

A “Goldilocks” scenario denotes strong growth with low inflation—neither overheating nor recessionary.

Impact: Improved market sentiment, softer bond yields, higher equity valuations, and better anchoring of expectations.

About the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC)

  • Nature: Six-member statutory body (established in 2016 via amendment to the RBI Act, 1934).
  • Mandate: Maintain price stability while supporting growth.
  • Inflation Target: CPI at 4% ± 2% under the inflation-targeting framework.
  • Composition: RBI Governor (Chair), one Deputy Governor, one RBI official, and three Government-appointed external members (four-year terms).
  • Process: Decisions by majority vote; Governor has a casting vote; minimum four meetings annually.
  • Legal Basis: Section 45ZB; decisions binding on the RBI.

Supplementary Liquidity Measures by the RBI

1. Open Market Operations (OMO)

  • Action: Purchase of government securities worth ₹1 lakh crore.
  • Objective: Inject durable liquidity and stabilise bond yields across maturities.
  • Impact: Higher system liquidity, stable call-money rates, and rising bond prices.

2. USD/INR Forex Buy–Sell Swap ($5 billion, 3-year maturity)

  • Mechanism: RBI buys dollars now (injecting rupees) and sells them back later.
  • Objective: Boost rupee liquidity while moderating forex volatility.
  • Significance: Adjusts liquidity without permanently expanding the RBI’s balance sheet (unlike OMO).
  • Impact: Improved banking liquidity, predictable hedging costs, and balanced dollar supply.

Overall Significance

Together, the rate cut, optimistic macro forecasts, OMOs, and forex swaps signal a calibrated easing—supporting growth, anchoring inflation expectations, and preserving financial stability. This multi-instrument approach strengthens confidence in India’s macroeconomic resilience.

Finland to Host Circular Economy Roadshows in India

Context: Finland will organise Circular Economy Roadshows across major Indian cities as part of deepening India–Finland cooperation on sustainability. The initiative comes ahead of India hosting the World Circular Economy Forum (WCEF) in October 2026, positioning the country as a global hub for circular transition dialogue and solutions.

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About Circular Economy

The circular economy is an economic model that aims to design out waste, extend product lifespans, and close material loops by promoting reuse, repair, remanufacturing, and recycling. Unlike the linear “take–make–dispose” model, it focuses on keeping materials and products in use for as long as possible.

Key drivers of a circular economy include eco-design and product innovation, advances in material recovery and recycling technologies, and producer-responsibility frameworks such as Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR), which shift waste management accountability to manufacturers.

According to the United Nations Development Programme, a global transition to a circular economy could unlock $4.5 trillion in economic value by 2030, while simultaneously reducing greenhouse gas emissions, pollution, and pressure on natural resources.

India’s Circular Economy Potential

India’s circular economy potential is estimated at $2 trillion and 10 million jobs by 2050, reflecting the country’s large material base, growing markets, and demographic advantage. At present, India’s circular efforts are largely concentrated on waste management and recycling, especially in plastics, e-waste, and construction debris.

To move up the value chain, India has identified several priority sectors for circular transition:

  • Textiles (fibre recycling, sustainable fashion)
  • Electronics (e-waste recovery, critical minerals)
  • Construction (reuse of demolition waste)
  • Mobility (vehicle life extension, shared mobility)
  • Packaging (plastics and paper alternatives)
  • Clean energy value chains, including batteries and critical materials

The Finnish roadshows aim to share global best practices, scalable technologies, and policy insights that can help India shift from recycling-centric models to design-led circular systems.

About the World Circular Economy Forum (WCEF)

The World Circular Economy Forum is a global annual conference launched in 2017 by SITRA, Finland’s innovation fund. It brings together governments, businesses, researchers, and civil society to showcase circular economy solutions, policy frameworks, and industrial models.

WCEF serves as a platform for high-level discussions, cross-sector collaboration, and international partnerships. India hosting WCEF 2026 highlights its growing role in shaping global sustainability and resource-efficiency agendas.

Significance

The Finland-led roadshows will help build capacity, foster industry partnerships, and align Indian policies with global circular economy standards, supporting sustainable growth and climate goals.

Flight Duty Time Limitation (FDTL) Rules: Safety vs Capacity in Indian Aviation

Context: As reported by The Indian Express, India’s largest airline IndiGo has witnessed large-scale flight delays and cancellations following the rollout of revised Flight Duty Time Limitation (FDTL) Rules, primarily due to crew shortages. The episode highlights the operational challenges arising from stricter safety-centric aviation norms.

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What are Flight Duty Time Limitations (FDTL)?

FDTL rules are mandatory aviation safety standards that regulate the maximum flight time, duty periods, and minimum rest requirements for pilots and cabin crew. Their core objective is to prevent fatigue-induced human error, a critical risk factor in aviation safety.

In India, FDTL rules are issued by the Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA) as Civil Aviation Requirements under the Bharatiya Vayuyan Adhiniyam, 2024 and the Aircraft Rules, 1937.

Implementation Timeline

  • Issued: January 2024
  • Phased Implementation: From July 2025
  • Full Enforcement: 1 November 2025

Key Provisions of the Revised FDTL Rules

1. Flight Time and Rest Limits

  • Weekly Rest: Increased to 48 continuous hours, including two full nights at home base.
  • Cumulative Limits:
    • 8 hours per day
    • 35 hours per week
    • 100 hours in 28 days
    • 1,000 hours per year
  • Mandatory Daily Rest: Minimum 10 hours in any 24-hour period.

2. Duty Extensions and Fatigue Management

  • Overtime Rest: Additional rest equal to twice the extended duty duration.
  • Split Duty: Breaks of 3–10 hours can extend duty by only half the break duration.
  • FRMS: Mandatory adoption of Fatigue Risk Management Systems to enable scientific, fatigue-based rostering.

3. Night Operation Restrictions

  • Window of Circadian Low (WOCL): Extended to 00:00–06:00 hours.
  • Night Duties: Maximum two consecutive night duties.
  • Night Landings: Limited to two per week.
  • Night Limits:
    • Night flight time: ≤ 8 hours
    • Night duty time: ≤ 10 hours

Why Were Stricter Rules Introduced?

  • Pilot Fatalities: On-duty pilot deaths in Nagpur (2023) and Delhi (2024) exposed extreme cumulative fatigue.
  • Global Evidence: ICAO studies indicate 15–20% of fatal aviation accidents involve crew fatigue.
  • Circadian Science: Reduced alertness between 02:00–06:00 hours necessitated tighter night controls.
  • International Alignment: India’s earlier 125-hour monthly limit risked global safety downgrades.
  • Roster Misuse: DGCA audits revealed airlines treating maximum limits as routine scheduling norms.

Impact Assessment

Positive Outcomes

  • Reduced fatigue-related operational errors.
  • Alignment with FAA and EASA global safety benchmarks.
  • Improved pilot recovery through stricter night-duty limits.
  • Shift from compliance-based to risk-based fatigue management.

Operational Challenges

  • Crew shortages leading to cancellations and delays.
  • Airline operating costs rising by 20–30% due to training and staffing needs.
  • Higher ticket prices for passengers.
  • Reduced scheduling buffers increasing disruption sensitivity.

Conclusion

The revised FDTL rules represent a decisive shift towards safety-first aviation governance. While short-term disruptions are evident, the long-term gains in human safety, global credibility, and sustainable aviation growth outweigh transitional operational costs.

National Strategy for Financial Inclusion (NSFI) 2025–2030

Context: The Governor of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) released the National Strategy for Financial Inclusion (NSFI) 2025–2030, outlining India’s roadmap to deepen equitable access to formal financial services over the next five years. The strategy is designed amid rising digitalisation, new financial technologies, and the need to strengthen inclusion for women, low-income groups, and rural communities.

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About NSFI 2025–2030

  • NSFI is a comprehensive national plan to expand financial access, usage, and resilience across India.
  • It is built around five strategic pillars, collectively called Panch-Jyoti (Five Lights).
  • The strategy has been formulated by the Technical Group on Financial Inclusion and Financial Literacy (TGFIFL) in collaboration with banks, ministries, regulators, and financial institutions.
  • The goal is to achieve a robust, inclusive, and technology-enabled financial ecosystem supporting national priorities.

Panch-Jyoti: The Five Pillars of NSFI

  1. Equitable Financial Services – universal access to banking, credit, insurance, payments, and grievance redressal.
  2. Women-Led Inclusion – gender-intentional financial services, higher female BCs, and women’s asset ownership.
  3. Finance–Livelihood Integration – linking credit, insurance, and financial tools with livelihood programmes.
  4. Financial Education – strengthening digital and financial literacy, especially for rural and vulnerable groups.
  5. Customer Protection – safe, transparent services backed by strong regulatory mechanisms.

Key Focus Areas of NSFI 2025–2030

1. Last-Mile Banking Delivery

  • Every revenue centre must have at least one functional banking outlet—a branch, Digital Banking Unit, or fixed-point Business Correspondent (BC).
  • Enhances coverage in remote, tribal, and underserved areas.

2. Strengthening the Business Correspondent Ecosystem

  • Ensure fair remuneration and structured incentives for BCs.
  • Use BCs to distribute insurance, pensions, mutual funds, and other social security schemes.
  • A medium-term aim: 30% women BCs for improved community trust and outreach.

3. Digital Innovation & CBDC Integration

  • Explore programmable CBDC for targeted government benefits and credit flows.
  • Expand offline CBDC pilots to low-connectivity rural areas to ensure digital inclusion.

4. Social Security Integration

  • Full integration of banks and insurers on the Jansuraksha portal for seamless enrolment and claims under PMJJBY and PMSBY.
  • Strengthen portability and reduce delays in claim settlement.

5. Product Innovation for Underserved Users

  • Promote bundled insurance products combining life, health, accident, and property coverage.
  • Encourage micro-pension, micro-credit, and micro-insurance models tailored to informal workers.

Significance of NSFI

  • Enhances India’s progress towards universal financial inclusion, supporting sustainable development goals.
  • Improves credit flow, digital access, and risk protection for vulnerable groups.
  • Strengthens confidence in financial systems through better transparency and consumer protection.
  • Complements ongoing reforms such as UPI expansion, Jan Dhan–JAM architecture, Digital Banking Units, and Financial Literacy Centres.

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