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In the context of India, which of the following factors is/are contributor/ contributors to reducing the risk of a currency crisis?

  1. The foreign currency earnings of India's IT sector
  2. Increasing the government expenditure
  3. Remittances from Indians abroad

Select the correct answer using the code given below.

  • A 1 only
  • B 1 and 3 only
  • C 2 only
  • D 1, 2 and 3

Show Answer
The correct answer is B.

IT Sector Earnings:

  • India's IT service exports have steadily risen to around $150 billion per year. This provides a large stream of USD and other foreign currency into the economy.
  • It reduces the dependence on volatile foreign portfolio flows that are riskier from a currency stability perspective.
  • The increased forex reserves from IT export earnings make India less susceptible to the risk of a potential currency crash.

Government Expenditure:

  • Higher fiscal spending by the government drives up imports, widens current account deficit (CAD) and leads to depletion of forex reserves, which precipitate a currency crash.
  • As fiscal deficit rises, foreign investors often withdraw capital from India wary of depreciation risks. This compounds currency crash risks.

Remittances from Abroad:

  • India receives over $80 billion in worker remittances annually from Indians residing overseas.
  • This leads to a positive impact on India's balance of payment position and forex reserves, reducing dependence on volatile FPI inflows.
  • It provides a buffer against sudden capital outflows that make the rupee more resilient when global risk sentiment worsens.
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