In the context of India, which of the following factors is/are contributor/ contributors to reducing the risk of a currency crisis?
- The foreign currency earnings of India's IT sector
- Increasing the government expenditure
- Remittances from Indians abroad
Select the correct answer using the code given below.
- A 1 only
- B 1 and 3 only
- C 2 only
- D 1, 2 and 3
Show Answer
The correct answer is B.
IT Sector Earnings:
- India's IT service exports have steadily risen to around $150 billion per year. This provides a large stream of USD and other foreign currency into the economy.
- It reduces the dependence on volatile foreign portfolio flows that are riskier from a currency stability perspective.
- The increased forex reserves from IT export earnings make India less susceptible to the risk of a potential currency crash.
Government Expenditure:
- Higher fiscal spending by the government drives up imports, widens current account deficit (CAD) and leads to depletion of forex reserves, which precipitate a currency crash.
- As fiscal deficit rises, foreign investors often withdraw capital from India wary of depreciation risks. This compounds currency crash risks.
Remittances from Abroad:
- India receives over $80 billion in worker remittances annually from Indians residing overseas.
- This leads to a positive impact on India's balance of payment position and forex reserves, reducing dependence on volatile FPI inflows.
- It provides a buffer against sudden capital outflows that make the rupee more resilient when global risk sentiment worsens.

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